Tropical Storm Arthur.
The first named storm of the 2014 Atlantic Hurricane Season is on the move. Tropical Storm Arthur had maximum sustained winds of 70 mph as of 10 PM CDT on July 2, moving to the north. A turn to the northeast is likely Thursday as the system becomes a hurricane. The Outer Banks of North Carolina may be significantly impacted early Friday morning, before Arthur moves to the northeast over the Atlantic.
US Tornadoes 2014
Tornadoes are possible across the country’s mid-section Tuesday evening along a distinct warm front. We are actually due to see more tornadoes this severe weather season as the total so far in 2014 is as low as it’s been at this point of the year since 2005. That may change over the next 24 hours, but so far, 2014 has been a below-normal severe weather year.
Doppler Radar Estimated Rainfall, May 28, 2014
Here’s a look at Doppler radar estimated rainfall totals from Wednesday morning. The bulls-eye area is from Jennings to Lafayette along I-10. At the airport in Lafayette, 6.86″ fell in just nine hours between 2:00 and 11:00 AM. This was all caused by an upper-level area of low pressure to our northwest helping tap deep moisture from the Gulf of Mexico. Below is an animation of the heavy rain event, which in some spots dropped about 10-15% of our average annual rainfall in under 12 hours!
Drought conditions developing across SW Louisiana, May 22, 2014.
The latest Drought Monitor was released on Thursday and it confirms what we know – drought conditions are developing across Southwest Louisiana. Moderate to severe drought covers areas from Lafayette westward. The rain deficits are substantial year-to-date. Lafayette is down 7.23″ for the year thru Thursday, while Lake Charles is down 9.33″ compared to normal. There is little hope for any rainfall until the middle of next week when some energy above may move into the state.
Hurricane season 2014 is almost here and we’re helping you get prepared. We’ve put together a fantastic half-hour special featuring interviews from Dr. Rick Knabb and Dr. Phil Klotzbach, details on how tropical cyclones are steered in the atmosphere, tips on preparing for an approaching storm, and much more. Tune in Saturday, May 31 at 6:30 PM or Sunday, June 1 at 11:30 AM. If you can’t watch live, make sure to set your DVR. This is a top-quality special produced right here at News 10! Remember, as the season progresses, keep checking back to livedoppler10.com and we’ll post in-depth analysis on tropical systems across the Atlantic Basin.
Tuesday’s low of 20° at Lafayette was the coldest reading in four years and as cold as we’ve been in almost 18 years! The last time the temperature dropped into the teens was on February 5, 1996, when we hit 16°. There are a lot of similarities between the winter of ’95-’96 and ’13-’14, including a long-wave ridge over the Northern Pacific and persistent troughing over North America. Early 1996 featured a low of 21° in January at Lafayette, an 18° and 16° low in February, and a late 25° low on March 9. If we use 1996 as a guide, more bitterly cold air may be in store for South Louisiana before this winter departs.
Data revealed at an American Geophysical Union scientific meeting in San Francisco Monday is record-breaking. NASA satellite data shows the temperature in East Antarctica in August 2010 hit -135.8° F. On July 31, 2013, the temperature there hit -135.3°. The world record had been -128.6°. That is cold!!! By the way, the record for heat was set way back on July 10, 1913, when a thermometer recorded 134° at Death Valley, CA.
The 2013 Atlantic Hurricane Season came to an end over the weekend. The final numbers include 13 named storms, two of which became hurricanes (Humberto & Ingrid), with neither becoming major hurricanes. While the number of storms was above the average of 12, the number of hurricanes and major hurricanes was well below normal. Unfavorable conditions dominated much of the season, with strong wind shear and dry and/or dusty conditions. The last time the US was hit by a major hurricane was back in October 2005 (Wilma). The eight-plus year gap is more than twice as long as any other gap between major hurricane hits since records began.
The rain-maker impacting Acadiana Monday/Tuesday will turn into a big storm for the East Coast on Wednesday, which is typically the busiest travel day of the year. Air travel to the big cities in the Northeast and thru hub cities like Atlanta, may experience significant delays. In the wake of the system we’ll see plenty of sunshine as chilly air grips most of the country.
If Super Typhoon Haiyan were in the Gulf of Mexico, here is some perspective on its massive size. Maximum sustained winds were around 195 mph, stronger than Camille’s 190 mph max sustained winds in 1969.